Political risk : facing the threat of global insecurity in the twenty-first century

Rice, Condoleezza, 1954-2018

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Summary

The blackfish effect : 21st century political risk -- Move over, Hugo Chavez -- How we got here : mega trends in business, technology, and politics since the Cold War -- Mind games and groupthink : why good political risk management is so hard -- Moving beyond intuition : our political risk framework -- The art of boat spotting : understanding political risks -- Analyzing risks like a physicist -- The nuclear triad, the empty plane, and other ways to mitigate risks -- Zulu time : responding to crises -- Strengthening your political risk muscles.Political risk - the probability that a political action could significantly affect an organisation - is changing fast, and it's more widespread than ever before. In the past, the chief concern used to be whether a foreign dictator would nationalise the country's oil industry or impose onerous new regulations. Today, political risk stems from a widening array of political agents, from Twitter users and terrorists to local officials, transnational activists, hackers and insurgents. What's more, the very institutions and laws that are supposed to reduce uncertainty and risk often increase it instead. This means that in today's globalised world there are no 'safe' bets. Political risk affects companies and organisations of all sizes, operating everywhere from London to Lahore, even if they don't know it.Political Risk investigates and analyses this shifting landscape, suggests what businesses can do to navigate it, and explains how all of us can better understand and deal with these rapidly changing geopolitical dynamics.